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2021-

2021-07-30 a
THIS IS SICK I
Only idiots or corrupt politicians could believe computer-generated epidemiological models. They suffer from the garbage-in-garbage-out effect. Or, the programs are often run many times until the desired outcome is "forecast" and only that iteration is published. Lately, the worst modeler has been Neil Ferguson, funded (of course) by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.

• “Neil Ferguson ‘overconfident’ in his Covid claims, says top US forecaster”

• “Why are we in thrall to ‘superforecasters’ like Professor Neil Ferguson?”

• “Have I been unfair to Neil Ferguson?”

• “We’ll Have Herd Immunity by April”: Reflections on a Failed Prediction

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