2022-

2022-11-13 f
THE STATE OF THE DISUNION VI

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Our estimates did mostly line up. Tonight was the start of the GOP cavalry charge.

— The AZ – abc15 – Data Guru (@Garrett_Archer) November 14, 2022

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97k ballots dropped in Maricopa@KariLake 54.6%@katiehobbs 45.4%

Lake net gain +8,911

— The AZ – abc15 – Data Guru (@Garrett_Archer) November 14, 2022

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We're not in the business of spreading false hope.

Our confidence hasn't wavered & we haven't moved an inch since election day.@KariLake will be the next Governor of Arizona. pic.twitter.com/zU8mp0MFTX

— Kari Lake War Room (@KariLakeWarRoom) November 12, 2022

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Tonight’s pending Maricopa drop explained:

If Kari Lake gets 64%+ she’s in the driver's seat and Hobbs has almost no path to victory

— Charlie Kirk (@charliekirk11) November 13, 2022

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I expect Maricopa County to break up remaining into thirds so 60k and change per drop for next three days— yes three days— could be longer if we see more issues (there are many I’ve highlighted on the table)

— Tyler Bowyer (@tylerbowyer) November 13, 2022

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In Maricopa and Pima, officials are absolutely cooperating with observers (lawyers). Nobody is hiding anything or any part of the process from either party reps.

Everyone should know that.

— Rich Baris "The People's Pundit" (@Peoples_Pundit) November 13, 2022

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However, see this: Arizona Ballots Make Stop at Runbeck Printing Company to Scan Ballot Envelopes Before They Are Sent to County — WITH NO OBSERVERS
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They tried to pass HB2710 to close the runbeck loophole— (Gina Swoboda @VoteReference was involved here) but it failed last session.

Mickie has worked to keep Chain of Custody and observation around runbeck beyond statutory requirements of the county.

— Tyler Bowyer (@tylerbowyer) November 13, 2022

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I'm frankly a little stunned Kari Lake won these considering where they are from and that they have cured ballots in the batch. https://t.co/UplTJpQWIh

— Rich Baris "The People's Pundit" (@Peoples_Pundit) November 13, 2022

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.@KariLake: "We need to get in there and restore faith in our elections. We can’t be the laughingstock anymore, and when I’m Governor, I won’t allow it." pic.twitter.com/TyRuBcTrr8

— Kari Lake (@KariLake) November 13, 2022

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Maricopa County has tabulated 85,656 ballots
Est. 194,885 remain (88% complete)

Batch breakdown
Governor@KariLake 51.8@katiehobbs 48.2

Senate@bgmasters 49.1@CaptMarkKelly 49.2

AZSOS@RealMarkFinchem 49.4@Adrian_Fontes 50.6

AZAG@AbrahamHamadeh 52.4@krismayes 47.6

— The AZ – abc15 – Data Guru (@Garrett_Archer) November 13, 2022

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Maricopa County – 84,593 Ballots Reported

Kari Lake – 43,797 (51.8%)
Katie Hobbs – 40,786 (48.2%)

Gain of 3,001 for Kari Lake. This drop from Maricopa likely to be the worst or the remaining ones. ~190k ballots remain.

— Data Orbital (@Data_Orbital) November 13, 2022

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https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1591573897547517953.html

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Hey everyone, honestly, it’s better for folks to STAY AWAY from Maricopa county offices, SO THEY CAN FINISH their job of counting votes. The last thing anyone wants is a reason to stop the counting. Understood? @ConradsonJordan @BenBergquam @RealAmVoice

— Wendy Rogers (@WendyRogersAZ) November 12, 2022

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More of the Penske trucks at the Maricopa County elections office. Almost like history repeating itself from 2020! Is it in confidence or corruption?@RealAmVoice pic.twitter.com/T2dNfOw0b7

— Ben Bergquam – Real America’s Voice (RAV-TV) News (@BenBergquam) November 11, 2022

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According to @maricopacounty,

8PM AZ Time Drop.

Somewhere around 80,000 votes will be released.

17,000 election day votes (door 3?)

Remainder of the few early votes.

Majority of votes tonight will be early votes drop off ON election day.

— Kari Lake War Room (@KariLakeWarRoom) November 11, 2022

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Brian Seitchik: “At this point, we should be calling her Governor-Elect @KariLake” pic.twitter.com/Mr4HaoxR0x

— Kari Lake (@KariLake) November 11, 2022

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Wendy Rogers was just appointed as Chair of the Arizona Senate’s Election Committee.

This is huge as Rogers will help Kari Lake ratify Election Integrity Bills similar to the ones that made the elections in Florida go so smoothly.

— Paul A. Szypula (@Bubblebathgirl) November 11, 2022

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This election will be determined by the voters, not by the volume at which an unhinged former television reporter can shout conspiracy theories.

— Katie Hobbs (@katiehobbs) November 10, 2022

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