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comments, ephemera, speculation, etc. (protected political speech and personal opinion) 2023- 2023-10-25 a NEW WORLD DISORDER VIII GAZING UPON GAZA,
PALESTINIAN FECUNDITY, IMPOSSIBILITY OF A TWO-STATE
SOLUTION, DEMOGRAPHIC COLLAPSE OF ISRAELI JEWS (with
help from Pfizer & Moderna), IMPENDING COLLAPSE
OF KHAZAR BANKERS' HUGE PONZI SCHEME, BIBLICAL
"JUSTIFICATION" OF 20th CENTURY LAND GRAB, AMERICAN
EVANGELICALS OVERDOSED ON PROPHESY-PORN & FALSE
FLAGS GALORE, ALL THAT & MORE IN A POST-TRUTH
WORLD
* Some
analysis on the prospects of an Israeli ground
assault and occupation of Gaza, which perhaps
explains why they've been shying away from
actually launching the operation.
Hamas right now claims 40,000 reasonably well-armed and well-trained fighters in a city of 2 million. First rule of thumb: all else being equal, you generally need a 3:1 numerical advantage to attack successfully. While the IDF has an extremely steep advantage in firepower, the Palestinians have had over a decade to dig in, and the Israelis would be attacking into a growing rubble pile. As anyone familiar with the Battle of Monte Cassino (or the much more recent Battle of Mosul) would tell you, rubble can be just as good to fight from as intact buildings and will interfere with the effective use of armored vehicles. Thus, the IDF will need to mass some 120,000 troops to defeat Hamas et al and occupy Gaza. Second rule of thumb: to conduct intensive counterinsurgency operations, you need a 1:20 ratio of security personnel to local inhabitants. There are some two million people living in Gaza, suggesting that an occupation army of 100,000 will be required into at least the medium term to pacify the city and root out insurgents - of which there will be many, because the local population hates the Israelis to an extent we have difficulty comprehending in the West. The IDF's regular strength in peacetime is 165,000 troops. So it can be readily seen that this mission would require doubling the standing strength of the IDF out of reserves and keeping it there for a period of years, likely after a grueling urban battle that could easily inflict more combat casualties on the IDF than it has suffered in every war it has been involved in since independence combined. Or to put it another way, devoting 1.5% of the Jewish and Druze population of Israel to counterinsurgency duty in Gaza for an indefinite period. No wonder Netanyahu keeps pushing off the invasion. Even if they win the battle it's a recipe for disaster.  Pictured: Israeli Merkava tanks sporting early-war style cope cages. Who's laughing now? — Armchair Warlord (@ArmchairW) October 24, 2023 * * ”As a Democrat who has been left homeless, who is now definitely in the center but probably leaning increasingly right, I am left yet again with an appreciation, despite the messenger, of the message of the Trump administration because what those guys did was pretty incredible in hindsight.” “So much of the work that
happened in that [Trump] administration turns out to
have been right. And that’s what is so frustrating
for me. The work on the border wall? We didn’t like
the messenger, so we killed the message. Turned out
it was right. Issuing long-term debt to refinance
when rates were at zero? We didn’t like the
messenger, so we killed the message. A structural
peace in the Middle East? We didn’t like the
messenger, so we killed the message.” * "A lot of people woke up on October 7 as liberals and went to bed as conservatives. What changed?"@KonstantinKisin on the day the delusions died. Must-read:https://t.co/4ocA720BtL — Bari Weiss (@bariweiss) October 23, 2023 * * Oh yeah well my six month-old baby just said “Israel is an abusive apartheid state that cannot exist without nonstop war and violence which is exactly why the US empire uses it as a military and intelligence proxy in a geostrategically crucial region it must dominate by force.” https://t.co/LTGFehZ5W3 — Caitlin Johnstone (@caitoz) October 21, 2023 **
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